5-8 Pod - S&P back Liberation Day close - BUY THE DIP - Are Apple and Google buys now? Or have things changed? Plus I trimmed my top 5 holdings and sold HIMS for 20% profit in 2 days

My Take

Since the market is back there, is it safe to assume the market will continue higher? I don’t think so and I’ve said it before - we will see volatility. I think the administration is comfortable bragging about the market recovery and toning down their tone, but I think as we move higher, they may get more aggressive with their stance on China who is pumping their economy with more stimulus and lowering rates. Find stocks that have a narrative - good stocks with good profits with good products and good earnings will tend to outperform long term and during any pullback, that’s what you’re looking for. I don’t think we hit all time highs this year, but any time you buy under the 200 day SMA, rarely has that been a bad strategy for a 5 year time horizon.

$SPX in Trendspider showing the close of the market right before Liberation Day speech. You can see it’s still under the 200 day which may provide some resistance or a tweet can take it down.

Earnings are proving to be VERY good with companies even raising guidance. For me, I’m looking to trim some of my bigger “runners” in my retirement accounts (avoiding tax events) and making sure to tax loss harvest whatever I can waiting for another pullback to buy back in to some stocks like Broadcomm ( AVGO 0.00%↑ ) or Netflix ( NFLX 0.00%↑ ). I also would like to put even more in to VOO 0.00%↑ and QQQ 0.00%↑ - I’d just like to see a pullback as some of the more shorter term charts look over bought.

The Tools I use to be more efficient and save time

1. Trendspider

Click on this link for savings and more details, but once you sign up for an annual plan, just contact me to get all the tools that I use like my 4 hour algorithm, custom watch lists and scanners.

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And if you want to see how I set up the portfolio, here’s the YouTube video you can watch.

Remember the Gary Bundle

The optimum bundle that I can’t live without is:

1. Trendspider - or some type of chart program that works for you.

2. Seeking Alpha Bundle that includes Premium (which is the Quant rating for thousands of stocks and the NEW Virtual Analyst Reports that make it easy to understand fundamentals ) and the Alpha Picks portfolio that is a data driven portfolio with a performance that almost triples the S&P.

Spotify, Apple and YouTube Links

Spotify

Apple

YouTube

Pod Notes

Thursday

S&P is right back to where it closed before liberation day … before the rose garden press conference

The Fed kept things the same

Google (Alphabet) and Apple - what now?

$aapl doing a search deal with $msft killed $goog …. This is a moment … $goog and $meta have dominated ad spend for the last decade. You’re seeing people going to other places and $aapl will implement this and may be a search engine itself using ai through multiple search sources and the money printing machine of $goog is in question. Bing is not a competitor - duck duck go is not a competitor - the ai services are the competitor

Josh brown brought up $pypl as the example … $pypl was dominant and still exists but as $appl pay and $goog pay and $xyz and others showed up - $pypl went down to a 12 multiple on pe …

As far as $aapl - investors may be thinking this like the moment in 2015 when $dis mentioned cord cutting … and the stock hasn’t been the same because the highest priced channels in the bundle was espn and they had millions of people paying for espn whether they watched it or not …. Search was down in the browser on the iPhone …

Google refuted the claims and it’s coming back today but I go back to my own usage - yes I’m using Google far less with these tools. I think I’m a new adopter who figures out how to use new technology far easier and faster than most. I just don’t like the Google results page and I think that’s needs to be cleaned up.

This is a clip from December 2023 where $goog was trading at $130…

Biggest movers

It’s an ai market ….. you can buy a theme

Oscar Healthcare - a 10 bagger?

My insurance company that I brought up before - $OSCR - up 25% on earnings - has it turned around?

I sold $hims at $50 and took 20% profits

Chip stocks a buy now?

This could be good for chip stocks like $amd $nvda $avgo

Trade Deals?

And trade deals will make the market go up

I did a lot of trimming yesterday in my retirement accounts ….

$msft at $438

$aapl at $200

$goog at $160

$crwd at $423

$AMZN back over $188 resistance

$BAC back over $40

$COST back over $1,000

$DIS back over $100

$GOOG back at $165

$IBIT over $50

$MSFT back near $440

$NVDA back over $110

$RBLX back over $70

Opportunities

$UNH under $400 - valuation is reasonable - but it’s been dead money for a while - wait for an uptrend reversal

$uber - wait for a better price

RSI for most oversold and overbought stocks

Earnings

$app killed it and was up 15% - buy the dip - alpha picks bought this in Nov 2023 for around $38/share - a 615% gain in the portfolio

Alpha Picks performance beats the S&P and you can see they bought $APP on 11/15/2023. Save $50 by clicking the photo above or using the Seeking Alpha Bundle link below that saves you $159.

$meli killed it like I said

$axon killed it

Fortinet - missed and guided just in the middle of the range

$shop missed but expect it to come back to the 200 day

Quantum stocks soared

$ionq - until it gets to be a positive business - I would trade it but they did better than expected

$IONQ in the 4 hour algorithm which performs BETTER than buy and hold over 2 years. The back tested results are below.

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Education

12 rules of technical trading

My Project for a Scanner

I am going to try and build this scanner in Trendspider for momentum traders like Ross Cameron from Warrior Trading as Trendspider is a far easier and much more powerful tool I think. Here’s what he looks for (I may refine this).

1. Stocks trading between $2-$20

2. Shares outstanding of less than 10 million

3. Stock already has a change % of more than 10%

4. 5 times relative volume compared to previous sessions