My Take
The markets are at all time highs and every piece of news that comes out could take the market lower. It never feels comfortable to put money to work when markets seem stretched like they are. But in a point of “the glass is half full” vs. “the glass is half empty”, if your investment horizon is more than a year - there’s no reason not to put the money to work right now. Investing always comes with risk and some lose sleep with risk while others don’t. I’m heavily invested - but for me - not fully invested. I like to look at single stock opportunities when the market is at these levels.
Before I really started trading with charts and understanding the movements to try and get a leg up on price action, I would use charts to see where a stock COULD go. If it was at all time highs, I would need a “thesis” to invest in it - like HOOD 0.00%↑. If it was below it’s 52 week or all time high, markets have memories. A good company with good profits, good products and good management should be able to go back to the price it was before. That’s why I think AAPL 0.00%↑ is one I’m comfortable holding. The market is at all time highs and AAPL 0.00%↑ is still almost 20% below the level it was in just January.
I’m not the best trader nor am I the best investor nor am I the best protector of capital, but I have been successful in making enough money to sustain an early retirement that turned in to me being a podcast host and being a doosh on the internet. I probably should go over the rules of the podcast again soon but the number 1 rule is and will always be - don’t listen to a doosh on the internet - do your own research!
4th of July Sales are coming to an end - don’t miss out
I know people think I pump too many affiliate links sometimes, but the truth is these are the ONLY tools I use. Think of me as a landscaper who’s telling you “Ryobi is the best yard brand out there”. A landscaper might have a different opinion and it won’t make them or me wrong. My point - the tools work for me and many of the listeners of the podcast so I know they have a proven track record. I’ve used them in bull markets and in bear markets and they’ve helped me grow my portfolio. Tools don’t guarantee you’ll be successful, but if you’ve ever tried to fix a plumbing problem with a tool that was designed for wood working - you know tools matter.
✅Trendspider sale ends SOON - Don’t wait!
Sign up for an annual plan and then email me to get all of my tools or just try it out for $7 for 2 weeks. Either way - make sure you have a chart. Click on the photo above for more information.
✅Seeking Alpha: Unmatched Investment Research—Now on Sale! - 3 choices - Premium, Alpha Picks or The Bundle - all on SALE!
Seeking Alpha is running its biggest sale of the year—and it won’t be back until Black Friday! For a limited time, get (click the photos to get more information on each product and discount information):
Seeking Alpha Premium: Only $239/year (was $299) with a 7-day free trial—save $60
Alpha Picks: $100 off, now $399/year (was $499) -
Premium + Alpha Picks Bundle: Just $638/year (was $798)—save $160
Seeking Alpha Premium unlocks unlimited access to expert articles, powerful screeners, and proprietary stock ratings that have consistently outperformed the market. Alpha Picks, their top stock-picking service, has delivered returns of over +150% since inception—making this a gift that could pay for itself with just one good idea.
📅 Hurry—these exclusive Seeking Alpha deals end July 4, 2025!
Spotify, Apple and YouTube Links
Spotify
Apple
YouTube
Pod Notes
Wednesday
I began the episode with a little “under the hood” magic. I use Perplexity to optimize things for this podcast. So if things sound a little more “hype” sometimes - it’s the AI. I try and be as humble as possible. But the next part was NOT AI
🍔 Did you get the Red Robin RRGB 0.00%↑ trade? - up 10% at least!
Can I just say - I may be the greatest stock picker of all time … I didn’t buy this but as I recorded Monday night - I thought - boy - this thesis of buying RRGB 0.00%↑ because EAT 0.00%↑ has run so much - that’s not bad. A huge short interest in the stock could push it and boom - congrats to those that took the trade - go buy yourselves some bottomless fries. 🍟
Now you may say “but it was up before you published this”. I published the podcast and YouTube at 8:30am EST so let’s look at the chart.
🪛 Alpha Picks - the tool that beats the S&P
You got a new alpha pick yesterday … and it popped so hopefully someone was able to scalp it. I was golfing and busy shooting one of the highest scores of my life.
BONUS FOR FREE - 2 Alpha pick portfolio stocks that have a BUY signal today
But you did have 2 Alpha Picks with an entry in the 4 hour algorithm in Trendspider - again - using the tools you have.
🪛 Seeking Alpha Premium - the tool that gives you the Top 2025 and Top 2H 2025 stocks that outperform
And just to recap how Seeking Alpha pays for itself - here’s the ytd performance of the top 2025 stocks.
And the top 2H 2025 stock list is off to a good start with one of the picks up 11% in just 1 week.
You can even get top stocks from Investing Group leaders - there are some great ideas in this article I read
🔧The Perfect Gary Bundle - Trendspider and the Seeking Alpha Bundle
Mix in seeking alpha premium, alpha picks and Trendspider and you’ve got yourself a full toolset that if used efficiently like I use mine, you’ll build yourself a portfolio that outperforms the market.
Remember - Trendspider and all the seeking alpha sales end Friday and the market is closed after 1pm tomorrow so It’s a perfect 3 day weekend to get the tools, set them up and get organized.
Daily Stock Pick Core Portfolio updated Quant ratings
In fact the core portfolio had some rating changes in my email this morning
My Rant as a person who IMO pays enough in taxes
I went on a political rant. I just want to make sure people know - every dollar I make, 50% of that gets taken away in taxes. So from May to December, I’m working for only half the money I make. I don’t want to change political views, but votes matter and making sure you understand both sides is important. My personal view - Democrats rant about the % paid - Republicans rant about the actual $ amount. The middle - we are thoughtful and think there’s a good balance.
Jobs Data and the markets
The markets are waiting for jobs data. If jobs are bad and the Fed is forced to lower rates - that will be good further pushing the narrative that July is positive and perhaps a peak month in 2025. Remember - the market has never peaked in June.
First half winners
Trump is literally telling you what he’s going to do AGAIN
Remember how I said Trump is literally telling you what he’s doing. He’s told you that his new Fed chair I going to lower rates drastically…. The question is whether the market will think that’s a good thing or a bad thing. One thing we know is that lower rates should send the bond market down. That’s long term - short term - there are jitters around July 9th. But is this a time to buy international stocks as they dip?
I heard a funny Josh Brown rant yesterday about how his 401k has exploded and he thought it was wrong but it did so because he’s 40% international stocks which have soared.
Financials can still run
You had financials up yesterday as the banks announced buybacks and dividend increases since the stress tests allowed them to do more. Those were some of the easiest small gains if you wanted to scalp small amounts.
I own BAC 0.00%↑ GS 0.00%↑ and WFC 0.00%↑
XLF 0.00%↑ is one I think is set to take off
Tesla - TSLA 0.00%↑ - we’ve seen this before
$tsla - Elon taking over sales, fighting with Trump again and trump threatening him back. We’ve seen this playbook before - it’s a buy the dip but when? Maybe the 4 hour algorithm. Maybe you have a better strategy but I don’t.
Pulling guidance - but Healthcare being a “safety” area for defense - isn’t right now.
Healthcare stocks sank after $cnc pulled guidance just like $unh did. Will they bounce back or is there further downside? I don’t know and I’m not a healthcare guy but the big beautiful bill cut Medicare - what happens when the govt cuts spending to companies that rely on it? They make less money. It’s a space that I would trade rather than invest in but I’m not a healthcare guy.
Tech Led in Q2 - XLK 0.00%↑
The tech sector led the quarter and that’s where I am at home but I didn’t have the top gainers - but I do have a huge position in XLK 0.00%↑ which is a strong buy in the quant. AAPL 0.00%↑ was the biggest loser too
🍎Apple is starting to heat up - AAPL 0.00%↑
I’d like to point out that AAPL 0.00%↑ has started to mark up some ground with Siri maybe getting an upgrade. I own enough of this but it’s clearly been basing around $200 which I think is a great buy. Do you put it in your portfolio to double this year? No - you put it in your portfolio as a stock that could pop a few % points in a day but has shown a consistent profit - they print money and as we get towards these slow days - maybe they buy an ai player like perplexity and you’ll see it up 5%.
And is it due for a split again? Remember - Steve Jobs liked the stock under $100 and Tim Cook has mentioned he likes to abide by Steve’s wishes.
IPO market
Figma will be a big one as it got huge coverage with $adbe trying to buy them last year.
To Do List
We are in the 2nd half of the year now in July so make a checklist of things:
What stocks do you own? Do you have an elevator pitch for the long term ones? Do you know where you’re getting out of the trades you’re in? What alerts do you have set?
How is your performance ytd? Do you have losers you should cut? Do you have winners you should trim?
Tax prep - be sure you know your financial situation and an estimate of where you are. I’m usually hovering around the 20% long term capital gains realm these days so if I can stay under $400k in income - I can save myself 5%. You need to know your taxes as you can literally hack your way to a gain easier than you can risking money in the market.
Bonus - a sector that I’m in that should win
And if I can end here with a suggestion - you may not think cybersecurity is important but the people in companies who are in charge of spending on those products do. And they are choosing PANW 0.00%↑ FTNT 0.00%↑ and CRWD 0.00%↑
SCANS - Bullish Entries in the 4 hour algorithm - get the 4 hour algorithm when you sign up for a yearly plan of Trendspider
Leveraged ETFs
Listen to this episode with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to DailyStockPick’s Newsletter to listen to this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.
