My Take
We are clearly in a bull market, but not all stocks have run yet. There are many that may just be getting started. With that said, realize this time period is traditionally very slow and seasonally based on history, it’s not strong. Add to it that earnings is the catalyst right now with perhaps some mixed guidance based on tariff uncertainty and the market may have volatility. Remember to watch the VIX (currently VERY low), the 10 year bond rate and the CNN fear and greed index. Any weakness shown in those are opportunities to buy the dip.
I also suggest having a back tested strategy like my 4 hour algorithm that you trust. Just like the TQQQ 0.00%↑ trade I suggested that’s worked out - if it’s worked in the past, it’s likely to work in the future. So making sure a strategy has worked in the past is key. It doesn’t guarantee future results, but the best predictor of the future is the past.
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Pod Notes
Wednesday
✅BIG NEWS OF THE DAY - Inflation is not around
🏅Free 1 year of Trendspider contest winner!
The winner of 1 free year of Trendspider contest has been chosen. I wrote them an email last night - they have a yahoo address and you have until Friday to reply to my email to claim your prize. If I haven’t heard from you, we will choose another potential winner until we give this free year away.
🎖️ Let’s cover what I said in the past few weeks
1 - Delta ( DAL 0.00%↑ ) earnings - you’re welcome - best earnings play because planes are packed and expectations and the stock price were low
2 - The Trading Desk ( TTD 0.00%↑ ) - gap fill here - it’s happening - 4 hour algorithm got you in at $71 after a 37% gain from April to June - it wins 58% of the time.
3 - Tesla getting ( TSLA 0.00%↑ ) under $300 - you’re welcome
4 - Apple ( AAPL 0.00%↑ ) under $200 remains a good long term buy
5 - Crowdstrike ( CRWD 0.00%↑ ) got you out in the 4 hour algo, but I had mentioned trimming at $500 as that’s a tough valuation to hold without earnings catalyst
6 - $TQQQ - you’re up 10% since the 4 hour algorithm got you in and I suggested buying for seasonal reasons
So what are some other winners?
I will also add that it’s been just about a month since the 2nd half of the year stocks were named by Seeking Alpha. These top stocks have performed really well.
Of the 10 stocks, 6 are up over 1 month. The top stock is up 44% and the bottom stock is down 6%. The bottom stock is also a top 2025 stock that was named in January and is up 25% YTD. 4 of the stocks are up 20% of more just since the announcement.
Of the top 2025 stocks announced in January, 4 of them are up 50% YTD or more with the top stock up 74%. Only 2 are negative so 8 of them are up 10% or more YTD.
You should absolutely be getting Seeking Alpha Premium for this list alone which should continue to pay back the subscription.
New Alpha Pick at noon today
Plus we get a new Alpha Pick at noon today. The last pick chosen on 7/1 is now up 17% since it was announced. The portfolio YTD is up 9% vs. 6% for the S&P and doubles the S&P over 1 year.
📅 The Week ahead
The Catalyst Watch tells us what to look forward to each day this week
Tuesday - bank earnings and CPI inflation plus $TSLA India store opening
Wednesday - BAC MS GS and KMI earnings and PPI report
Thursday - NFLX PEP and options implies a double digit move for $MAN earnings - could be one to watch
Friday - GROK is going to be released to Tesla vehicles.
🆕 The New FANG index
Jim Cramer has a NEW FAANG. Remember - he is the one that came up with that so it’s worth listening when he comes up with a new one.
Earnings
Bank of America lists stocks they think are likely to beat and most likely to miss - I like $AAPL $AMZN $META $C $QCOM $BA $WDAY - and I don’t own any that are expected to miss - Do you?
🚦 Energy is still in play
Trump tariffs are still a thing - but energy is also still a thing. I own $MPLX but $EQT has been a solid gainer up 26% YTD
🖥️ The AI race leader - it’s Zuck
If you can get $META under $700 - DO IT. Zuck is making sure they win the AI race here in the US
💪 Some other Stocks set to move - STRONG BUY in the Seeking Alpha Quant
A new stock that Dan Ushman - the CEO of Trendspider has been big on is $OUST - let’s look at it.
POET 0.00%↑ which I have brought up as one I found as a TOP STOCK in Seeking Alpha is up 76% in 1 month. It moved in the Quant to a STRONG BUY at $4.50 and is STILL considered a STRONG BUY. Use Seeking Alpha to find things like this.
The STRONG BUY stocks in the Daily Stock Pick Core Portfolio in order as rated by the Seeking Alpha Quant are
IBIT 0.00%↑ - have you gotten in to bitcoin yet? - here’s a cool graphic of its timeline over the years.
💸 $4 Trillion is now a capable market cap for companies
NVDA 0.00%↑ is the first $4T market cap company …. And it’s up crazy this morning - this isn’t done going up
AMD 0.00%↑ is soaring too and it’s not at its 52 week high.
And MP 0.00%↑ has been going nuts - now a deal with AAPL 0.00%↑
🚚 Build your watch lists
Overall in this market I would focus on building a watch list of:
AI chip or hardware stocks like $NVDA $AMD
AI data center stocks - $DELL $SMCI $VRT $CRWV
Crypto stocks - $IBIT $COIN $MSTR
Power stocks - it could be nuclear - $NUKZ was the ETF I went over before
Financial stocks - I think deregulation is going to be huge - I own $BAC $WFC $GS
Education
This is the founder of the motley fool and he has 6 rules for picking high fliers and he suggests about how to hold them.
And here’s a bonus - A Reddit user deposited $400 into Robinhood, then let ChatGPT pick option trades. 100% win reate over 10 days.
Earnings
JPM 0.00%↑ - killed it … stock at all time highs
WFC 0.00%↑ - beat - stock again at all time highs
C 0.00%↑ - beat - KILLED it - net income jumped 25% - a bank in recovery
I haven’t done a ton of research in to the earnings, but I do own WFC 0.00%↑
Tonight - I think UAL 0.00%↑ will do well, but I’m not sure like $DAL. Remember - Newark is their hub - so expectations are low - the 4 hour algorithm has you in from $79 - it’s 52 week high is $116. Wall Street’s price is $9% above at $97.
Tomorrow there’s TSM 0.00%↑ in the morning and NFLX 0.00%↑ at night. Both are in the core portfolio and I still own NFLX 0.00%↑. I’m watching Quarterback and it’s still the one service I will pay for.
I’ll be live with Mike from Trendspider tomorrow as the earnings are announced so stay tuned for some more info on that. I think it might be on Trendspider’s YouTube channel, but we’re still working on the details since I was dead yesterday.
🐂 SCANS - Stocks that have a bullish entry in the 4 hour algorithm in Trendspider - go and chart them
Leveraged ETFs
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